Europacifica consulting is an economic and strategy consultancy, whose capabilities focus upon economic analysis and global financial markets advisory.

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AREAS OF EXPERTISE

Economics: Quantitative models, qualitative analysis

ECONOMICS

Quantitative models, qualitative analysis

FINANCIAL MARKETS: 14 Years of high-profile experience

FINANCIAL MARKETS

14 Years of high-profile experience

STRATEGY: forecasting and tools for decision-making

STRATEGY  

Forecasting and tools for decision-making

JAPAN: An inside knowledge of corporate and institutional Japan

JAPAN

Inside knowledge of Japanese institutions

 

Upcoming Events

THOMSON REUTERS – EUROPACIFICA THOUGHT LEADERSHIP SERIES CONFERENCE 1: SYDNEY 15 JUNE

Source: China National Tourism Office

THOMSON REUTERS RMB THOUGHT LEADERSHIP LUNCHEON SERIES   MONDAY 15TH JUNE China is currently Australia’s largest export market for both goods and services and is a growing source of foreign investment. The recent signing of the China Free Trade Agreement has the potential to unlock further significant commercial opportunities for Australia. For this reason Thomson Reuters will explore in detail: With keynote speeches delivered by Amy Auster, Deputy Director, Australia Centre for Financial Studies and Huw McKay,…

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Naomi Fink on CNBC 24 June 13:30 AEST

http://www.cnbc.com

Naomi Fink speaks on: – The yen and recent comments from BOJ’s Kuroda – The outlook for Bank of Japan: the need to balance inflation targets with JGB supply/demand – Japan’s policy mix: Reflation is necessary, but not sufficient, to fix Japan’s longer-term ailments Click here for a link to the video

Japanese economic recovery: resilience, amid slow inflation

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Economic data of late have shown more positive signals, from the upward revision in GDP to machinery orders and industrial production. While export growth has lagged, the trade gap has slowly narrowed and has even recovered (if temporarily) to surplus.  The BOJ meanwhile has placed emphasis on the recovery in housing investment from the growth side. From the inflation standpoint, we are clearly on the lower side of BOJ expectations,…

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Naomi Fink to present at FT Conference (Singapore) 9th June

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Naomi Fink has been invited to present some of her latest work on CNY Internationalisation, the impact of JPY weakness on Japan and Japanese policy, and reasons to remain attuned to downside risks for the AUD at the Financial Times’s “Reshaping the FX Trading Desk” conference in Singapore on 9th June: For further details, visit: https://live.ft.com/Events/2015/Reshaping-the-FX-Trading-Desk

Bloomberg TV: Naomi Fink on TPP (9:40am AEST)

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Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink speaks with Angie Lau on: – The many facets of TPP – political and economic, domestic and international contexts for the US, Japan and China – How Japan’s “sacred” items might still hinder benefits of a potential agreement. – The potential for Abe to harness TPP to boost credibility in his “third arrow” – The BOJ, their policy commitment, room for effective policy in the future – Why…

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Interview with Naomi Fink: on the Japanese economy and the outlook for Abenomics.

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In an exclusive interview, Naomi Fink speaks with The Diplomat’s  Anthony Fensom on: – The Japanese growth outlook – Wages, inflation and the BOJ’s 2% target – BOJ Policy in 2015 – Aggressive monetary stimulus, deflation and inflation – Abenomics held up to Fink’s unique empirical analysis of structural reform needs – Benefits of soft commodities, and the weak yen – Scepticism over so-called “Womenomics” and other labour reform discussions – Pensions: an area in which…

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Fink on CNBC 12:30pm JST

http://www.cnbc.com

Europacifica CEO speaks to Martin Soong & Oriel Morrison on: – BOJ Kuroda vs Abe: policy assessment - BOJ policy this month and beyond - Yen direction, equities and market sentiment – Wages, corporate profitability as bright spots near-term Link to video

Naomi Fink in The Diplomat: Fiscal, Monetary Fixes ‘Won’t Cut It’

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The structural reforms of Japan’s Abe government may not be what is needed to drag the economy out of its slump. In this article, Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink tells us why we shouldn’t expect fiscal and monetary policy to provide adequate solutions to Japan’s economic ailments. Link to Article

Naomi Fink for Profit and Loss: Mispriced risk in Australia

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Before last month’s RBA rate cut to 2.25%, divergent views with regard to economic risk (and by extension Australian asset markets) became apparent. One contingent foresaw declining yields as a predictable outcome of the slump in commodity prices, but more importantly as a symptom of a wider-spread attenuation in long-sustained appetite for Australian risk assets. The other was more optimistic, seeing the dip in Australian yields as more indicative of…

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Fink on CNBC – Japan monetary & fiscal link – 9.30am AEST (Sydney)

http://www.cnbc.com

Q3 GDP, BOJ, elections and consumption tax  Third quarter GDP: There is reasonable hope for GDP growth to rebound to “normal” levels (between 1.5% and 3%, annualized) in Q3, given the distortion in the two prior quarters from the impact of the April ’14 tax hike.  The recovery looks likely to be domestic-led. The BOJ’s 31 October decision as the “right” (theoretical) choice: From a theoretical standpoint, the BOJ did exactly as…

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